2002 to 2007
Make a Splash
WinterGreen Research, Inc.
Wireless infrastructure companies responding to changes in the worldwide wireless communications industry that includes moves toward digital systems. The carriers are purchasing digital systems that support IP 3G architecture, changing the character of wireless telecommunications markets.
A strong financial condition positions a few companies with competitive advantage that positions them to gain market share in the long term. Nokia, Alcatel, Motorola, and Siemens have a significant competitive advantage. Lucent and Ericsson are well positioned in the market, but have some hurdles as well. Companies with a broad market presence in service provider and enterprise markets, in components, software, and equipment have strategic advantage.
By 2007, wireless markets will account for 55% of telecommunications markets. By this time, handset and wireless switch sales will begin to slow due to market saturation. Base station spending is strong as companies compete to achieve better coverage.
Wireless telecommunications equipment accounts for 55% of the total telecommunications market in 2001. Wireless base station infrastructure, wireless switches, and consumer handset equipment markets represent the largest segments. Wireless segments account for growth occurring in the near term in telecommunications markets.
Markets are expected to be flat in 2002 and then grow steadily as service providers compete to improve their coverage. Wireless switch markets at $35.8 billion in 2001 are expected to drop to $34.7 billion in 2002 and begin to recover by 2005. Growth recurs in 2007 as markets reach $50.9 billion.
Ellen T. Curtiss, Technical Director, co-founder of WinterGreen Research, conducts strategic and market assessments in technology-based industries.Previously she was a member of the staff of Arthur D. Little, Inc., for 23 years, most recently as Vice President of Arthur D. Little Decision Resources, specializing in strategic planning and market development services.She is a graduate of Boston University and the Program for Management Development at Harvard Graduate School of Business Administration.She is the author of recent studies on worldwide telecommunications markets and the Top Ten Telecommunications market analysis and forecasts.
Susan Eustis, President, co-founder of WinterGreen Research, has done research in communications and computer markets and applications.She holds several patents in microcomputing and parallel processing.She is the author of recent studies of the Regional Bell Operating Companies' marketing strategies, Internet equipment, a study of Internet Equipment, Worldwide Telecommunications Equipment, Top Ten Telecommunications, Digital Loop Carrier, Web Hosting, and Application Integration markets.Ms. Eustis is a graduate of Barnard College.
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